GDP, Atlanta and Federal Reserve

Atlanta Fed model predicts GDP to shrink 2.8% in Q1: Trumpcession
The US economy could be shrinking at its fastest rate since the COVID-19 lockdown, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s GDPNow model, which is now forecasting America’s gross domestic product to fall 2.
Atlanta Fed model forecasts nearly -3% GDP growth in first quarter of this year
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model had, up until the Feb. 28 update, been forecasting growth between 2-4% in line with most other models. A graph on the GDPNow page lists the "Blue Chip Consensus" average of the top 10 and bottom 10 forecasts at a slight tick more than 2% U.S. GDP growth for Q1 2025.
Atlanta Fed GDPNow Sees Economy Shrinking After Friday Data
The US economy is setting up to take a major step back in the first quarter after a pair of reports showed weaker consumer spending and a dramatic widening of the trade deficit at the start of the year,
Atlanta Fed's GDPNow Estimate Falls Again
The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s running forecast for first-quarter gross domestic product slid again on Monday. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate now calls for a first-quarter GDP decline of 2.8%,
The first quarter is on track for negative GDP growth, Atlanta Fed indicator says
The central bank's GDPNow tracker of incoming metrics is indicating that gross domestic product is on pace to shrink by 1.5%.
Atlanta Fed's GDPnow model sees Q1 GDP deeper in the red after ISM release
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model slid deeper into the red on Monday, estimating that Q1 GDP will sink 2.8% on a seasonally adjusted annual rate, from the 1.5% decline it estimated on Friday. The nowcast factored in Monday's release of the February ISM,
Atlanta Fed’s GDP Predictor Is Tanking. It’s All About Trade Wars.
The Atlanta Federal Reserve keeps a running tally of how it expects gross domestic product to perform in the current quarter. It just swung from solid growth to contraction. The reason could be down to some statistical noise,
Atlanta Fed posts alarming new economic projection of Trump's first quarter
The Atlanta Federal Reserve on Monday produced a new projection that the American economy would shrink by nearly three percent in the first quarter of President Donald Trump's second term. Specifically,
Atlanta Fed model forecasts GDP contraction in 2025 Q1
On February 28, the #GDPNow model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q1 2025 is -1.5%: https://t.co/T7FoDdgYos. #ATLFedResearch ...
Commerce Secretary’s Comments Raise Fears of Interference in Federal Data
Howard Lutnick, the commerce secretary, suggested government spending should be excluded from data about U.S. economic output ...
Markets are ignoring the disastrous consequences of Trump’s economic vandalism
It’s the piece of economic data that few had previously even heard of, still less taken much notice of – the Federal Reserve ...
Atlanta Fed shock sounds 'Trumpcession' warning
The euro strengthened and European stocks rose on Monday after European leaders agreed to draw up a Ukraine peace plan, while ...
Investing5d
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta GDPNow
Fresh doubts are bubbling as the market reconsiders a range of risk factors, including renewed skepticism about the Federal Reserve’s commitment to... PCE Inflation: Will Core Data Validate Bets ...
New York Sun1d
Facing Dismal Economic Projections From Atlanta Fed, Commerce Secretary Proposes Major Change to GDP Reporting
The Atlanta branch of the Federal Reserve is now predicting that America’s GDP could decline by as much as 2.8 percent in the ...