Iran confirms no talks with the US amid tensions. Diplomatic meeting in UAE by September 30, 2026 at 0.1% YES.

Russian missile and drone strikes kill 15 in Kyiv region. Ukraine recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 8.5% YES.

El-Sayed leads Stevens in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary, but confidence in his win drops; victory by 10-15% at 17.9% ...

This article examines how recent events may relate to prediction market pricing. It reflects interpretive analysis of ...

Oil prices fall as US-Iran talks progress. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by September 30 at 3.2% YES.

Two tankers transit the Strait of Hormuz with U.S. Navy escort. Traffic returning to normal by September 30 at 30.5% YES.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana spot ETFs saw significant inflows on August 4. Bitcoin above $56K on August 5 at 99.9% YES.

SpaceX plans to use Nvidia's Vera Rubin for AI data centers, aiming for 10 GW by 2027. Nvidia largest company by market cap ...

Senate Democrats plan to block cloture on the Clarity Act due to stalled negotiations. Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 at ...

Trump hints at a significant military option against Iran. End of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026 at 76% YES.

A Russian Iskander missile with cluster munitions struck Kyiv, raising tensions. NATO-Russia military clash by December 31, ...

The Bank of Korea (BOK) is reportedly planning to purchase physical gold for the first time in 13 years, as reported by Korea ...